Probabilities, not predictions.
A model ensemble across ten football competitions. Calibrated, verifiable, updated daily.
- 01Spain16.8%
- 02Argentina14.4%
- 03France11.5%
- 04England10.4%
- 05Brazil6.4%
Launching for the tournament. Be first in.
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The tournament, modelled live.
A Monte Carlo simulation runs the full bracket fifty thousand times every day. The numbers below are the model's current view, updated daily, with a pretournament snapshot frozen at kickoff so you can watch the model evolve as results land.
A 95th-minute tap-in upended the model, England put six past Croatia, and Portugal's night unravelled at 1-1.
Read →Top 10 to win the World Cup
Updated 5h ago- 01Spain16.8%▼0.2
- 02Argentina14.4%▲1.7
- 03France11.5%▲0.5
- 04England10.4%▲0.4
- 05Brazil6.4%▼0.5
- 06Portugal5.2%▼0.5
- 07Germany4.3%▲0.0
- 08Colombia4.1%▲0.2
- 09Netherlands4.0%▼0.5
- 10Belgium3.0%▼0.2
Golden Boot — top 5 by P(top scorer)
Updated 5h ago- 014.23xG21.4%Harry KaneENG · Bayern Munich
- 023.41xG10.6%Kai HavertzGER · Arsenal
- 033.32xG9.5%Deniz UndavGER · VfB Stuttgart
- 043.06xG7.4%Erling HaalandNOR · Manchester City
- 052.95xG6.4%Lautaro MartínezARG · Inter
No tipsters. No hype. Just numbers.
Every match, mathematically.
A model ensemble runs over every fixture in ten competitions. Calibrated probabilities for 1X2, over/under, BTTS, correct score — refreshed daily.
- Same model output as bookmakers price against
- Calibrated using five seasons of historical results
- Verifiable: open the methodology, check the maths
Not predictions. Probabilities.
Where the model disagrees with the market.
The Scout surfaces fixtures where our probability differs meaningfully from the bookmakers' line. Strong, moderate, or speculative — confidence is graded, never embellished.
- Live Pinnacle odds compared against model output
- Edge magnitude shown explicitly, not hidden behind ratings
- Filter by competition, market, minimum odds
Calibrated. Verifiable. Yours.
We don't hide the maths.
Our ensemble blends multiple statistical and machine-learning approaches into a single calibrated probability per outcome. We backtest publicly, document our calibration, and price models per competition. We don't tell you which specific algorithms — that's our edge — but we'll show you what they produce and how well they perform.
Read the methodologyThree steps. No homework.
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Every match in your followed competitions is already modelled. Probabilities are calibrated and timestamped — you can verify them against any sharp book.
Decide for yourself
We show the maths. We don't tell you what to bet. Pick what fits your strategy or just enjoy the modelling.
The model is open. The decisions are yours.
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Finding Space is an analytics tool, not a betting platform. We show probabilities; you decide what to do with them. Bet responsibly. Set a limit you can afford to lose, and stick to it. BeGambleAware.